Scouting Report
Joonas Kemppainen holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kemppainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 47.8% vs Kemppainen 49.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 58.3%
Defensive zone
Kemppainen 83.6%
Neutral zone
Kemppainen 63.0%
Result
Joonas Kemppainen favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Benn
Kemppainen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Benn
Kemppainen
Last 5: Benn 4-1 Kemppainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Kemppainen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Kemppainen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Kemppainen
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (316)
50.4% (379)
-1.3%
Power Play
44.2% (147)
53.3% (15)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
43.1% (65)
-3.1%
On power play, Kemppainen has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kemppainen shoots left. Benn is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Benn shoots left. Kemppainen is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Benn
Kemppainen
Home
50.0% (232)
49.3% (201)
Away
44.7% (246)
49.6% (258)
By Period
Benn
Kemppainen
P1
43.9%
50.3%
P2
45.6%
47.9%
P3
51.6%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.3%
Kemppainen
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |