Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kemppainen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kemppainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Kemppainen 49.6% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kemppainen 65.4%
Defensive zone
Kemppainen 67.2%
Neutral zone
Kemppainen 65.2%
Result
Joonas Kemppainen favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Beagle
Kemppainen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Beagle
Kemppainen
Last 5: Beagle 1-4 Kemppainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kemppainen
0
1
Beagle
Kemppainen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kemppainen
0
1
Beagle
Kemppainen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kemppainen
1
2
Beagle
Kemppainen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Kemppainen
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
50.4% (379)
+7.7%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
53.3% (15)
+31.3%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
43.1% (65)
+12.3%
On power play, Beagle has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kemppainen shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Kemppainen is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Beagle
Kemppainen
Home
57.0% (307)
49.3% (201)
Away
59.1% (330)
49.6% (258)
By Period
Beagle
Kemppainen
P1
59.1%
50.3%
P2
59.8%
47.9%
P3
56.4%
50.7%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Kemppainen
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |