Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kemppainen 49.6% vs Hertl 54.9% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 89.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 69.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 88.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 81.3%
18.7%
81.3%
Kemppainen
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kemppainen
Hertl
Last 5: Kemppainen 5-0 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kemppainen
2
0
Kemppainen
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kemppainen
2
0
Kemppainen
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kemppainen
1
0
Kemppainen
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kemppainen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (379)
55.0% (382)
-4.6%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
59.7% (67)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (65)
75.0% (8)
-31.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kemppainen is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Kemppainen shoots left. Hertl is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Kemppainen
Hertl
Home
49.3% (201)
58.8% (221)
Away
49.6% (258)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Kemppainen
Hertl
P1
50.3%
52.6%
P2
47.9%
53.6%
P3
50.7%
62.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kemppainen
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Joonas Kemppainen |