Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kemppainen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kemppainen 49.6% vs Bozak 55.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 86.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 51.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 69.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Kemppainen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kemppainen
Bozak
Last 9: Kemppainen 6-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Kemppainen
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kemppainen
4
0
Kemppainen
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kemppainen
1
0
Kemppainen
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kemppainen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (379)
56.4% (837)
-6.0%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
60.8% (186)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (65)
33.3% (36)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Kemppainen has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kemppainen is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Kemppainen shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Kemppainen
Bozak
Home
49.3% (201)
58.7% (516)
Away
49.6% (258)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Kemppainen
Bozak
P1
50.3%
55.7%
P2
47.9%
53.4%
P3
50.7%
59.7%
OT
0.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kemppainen
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |