Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Martinook on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Martinook wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 45.4% vs Nash 48.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martinook 55.1%
Defensive zone
Martinook 53.6%
Neutral zone
Martinook 53.4%
Result
Jordan Martinook favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Martinook
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Martinook
Nash
Last 9: Martinook 4-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
2
1
Martinook
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Martinook
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Martinook
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,697)
48.7% (4,621)
-2.0%
Power Play
41.3% (63)
51.0% (249)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (406)
44.9% (550)
-5.5%
On power play, Nash has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Martinook is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (773).
Martinook shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Martinook
Nash
Home
46.8% (1,074)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
43.6% (1,092)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Martinook
Nash
P1
44.9%
49.0%
P2
47.6%
47.9%
P3
43.1%
48.0%
OT
36.4%
68.4%
Final 5 min
42.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |