Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.9%). Look for Martinook on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Martinook wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 45.5% vs Gagner 46.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 76.0%
Defensive zone
Martinook 60.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 52.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Martinook
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Martinook
Gagner
Last 7: Martinook 7-0 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
3
0
Martinook
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
4
0
Martinook
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,686)
45.4% (4,699)
+1.3%
Power Play
41.3% (63)
51.5% (928)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (403)
35.0% (226)
+4.7%
On power play, Gagner has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Martinook is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (767).
Martinook shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Martinook
Gagner
Home
46.8% (1,068)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
43.7% (1,084)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Martinook
Gagner
P1
45.1%
44.6%
P2
47.7%
46.1%
P3
43.0%
47.3%
OT
38.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
48.0%▬
48.0%
45.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |