Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Schroeder 45.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schroeder 61.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 69.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.5%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Roy
Schroeder
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Roy
Schroeder
Last 7: Roy 4-3 Schroeder
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schroeder
0
1
Roy
Schroeder
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Schroeder
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Schroeder
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Schroeder
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
43.2% (280)
+2.1%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
47.5% (40)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
0.0% (1)
+37.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schroeder shoots right. Roy is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Roy shoots left. Schroeder is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Roy
Schroeder
Home
44.9% (354)
41.2% (136)
Away
46.4% (293)
45.4% (185)
By Period
Roy
Schroeder
P1
47.0%
51.1%
P2
47.2%
39.7%
P3
42.5%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |