Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schroeder shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.4% vs Schroeder 45.1% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 63.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 80.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 79.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Thornton
Schroeder
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thornton
Schroeder
Last 5: Thornton 4-1 Schroeder
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schroeder
0
1
Thornton
Schroeder
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Schroeder
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Schroeder
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Schroeder
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (540)
43.2% (280)
+13.8%
Power Play
64.0% (111)
47.5% (40)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (50)
0.0% (1)
+62.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +62.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schroeder shoots right. Thornton is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Thornton shoots left. Schroeder is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Thornton
Schroeder
Home
56.7% (353)
41.2% (136)
Away
60.3% (348)
45.4% (185)
By Period
Thornton
Schroeder
P1
59.3%
51.1%
P2
60.1%
39.7%
P3
57.1%
40.5%
OT
47.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |