Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schroeder wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schroeder 45.1% vs Stajan 46.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schroeder 78.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 70.2%
Neutral zone
Stajan 53.0%
Result
Jordan Schroeder favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Schroeder
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Schroeder
Stajan
Last 9: Schroeder 3-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schroeder
2
1
Schroeder
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
3
Schroeder
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Schroeder
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schroeder
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (280)
46.7% (615)
-3.5%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
52.9% (17)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.5% (138)
-43.5%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Schroeder is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Schroeder shoots right. Stajan is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Schroeder
Stajan
Home
41.2% (136)
45.6% (379)
Away
45.4% (185)
46.8% (391)
By Period
Schroeder
Stajan
P1
51.1%
44.2%
P2
39.7%
46.9%
P3
40.5%
47.7%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |