Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schroeder on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schroeder wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schroeder 45.1% vs Bonino 47.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schroeder 58.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 65.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Schroeder
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schroeder
Bonino
Last 6: Schroeder 4-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schroeder
1
0
Schroeder
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schroeder
2
1
Schroeder
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schroeder
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schroeder
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (280)
48.4% (246)
-5.2%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
37.5% (32)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.2% (17)
-41.2%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Schroeder is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Schroeder shoots right. Bonino is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Schroeder
Bonino
Home
41.2% (136)
53.3% (122)
Away
45.4% (185)
42.2% (173)
By Period
Schroeder
Bonino
P1
51.1%
48.4%
P2
39.7%
44.3%
P3
40.5%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jordan Schroeder |