Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.4%). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Staal 55.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 82.4%
Defensive zone
Gordon 75.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Gordon
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gordon
Staal
Last 5: Gordon 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Gordon
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Gordon
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
56.6% (769)
+1.6%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
60.2% (98)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
27.8% (18)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Gordon shoots right. Staal is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Gordon
Staal
Home
58.4% (586)
57.8% (510)
Away
53.6% (632)
54.4% (375)
By Period
Gordon
Staal
P1
55.8%
55.1%
P2
58.1%
56.8%
P3
53.3%
57.1%
OT
68.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |