Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Soderberg wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 46.0% vs Staal 54.1% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 59.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Soderberg
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Soderberg
Staal
Last 10: Soderberg 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
1
Soderberg
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Soderberg
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
1
Soderberg
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (469)
54.2% (943)
-9.0%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
69.6% (79)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
50.8% (262)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Soderberg is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Soderberg shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Staal
Home
44.4% (248)
55.0% (593)
Away
46.1% (293)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Soderberg
Staal
P1
44.0%
54.3%
P2
49.2%
53.5%
P3
42.5%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |