Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.1% vs Staal 57.3% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 66.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Soderberg
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Soderberg
Staal
Last 10: Soderberg 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
2
Soderberg
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Soderberg
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (296)
57.2% (780)
-5.8%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
71.3% (171)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
45.5% (132)
+11.2%
On power play, Staal has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Soderberg is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Soderberg shoots left. Staal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Staal
Home
53.2% (190)
57.6% (566)
Away
49.8% (201)
58.4% (517)
By Period
Soderberg
Staal
P1
48.6%
55.6%
P2
53.3%
58.5%
P3
51.0%
60.6%
OT
100.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |