Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Staal 51.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 55.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 52.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Backes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Backes
Staal
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
2
Backes
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Backes
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
6
Backes
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
52.3% (790)
-3.2%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
54.4% (114)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
45.0% (218)
+0.2%
On power play, Staal has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Staal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Backes
Staal
Home
48.1% (690)
54.9% (628)
Away
49.2% (663)
46.4% (530)
By Period
Backes
Staal
P1
49.0%
50.3%
P2
50.2%
52.4%
P3
47.5%
50.4%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |