Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.2% vs Staal 56.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 59.2%
Defensive zone
Backes 50.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 50.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Backes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Backes
Staal
Last 8: Backes 3-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Backes
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (179)
55.9% (1,016)
-3.9%
Power Play
55.8% (52)
68.0% (150)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
50.6% (172)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Backes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Backes shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Backes
Staal
Home
53.8% (160)
57.2% (684)
Away
47.6% (82)
56.0% (654)
By Period
Backes
Staal
P1
53.8%
53.0%
P2
58.0%
58.2%
P3
41.4%
58.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | David Backes |