Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 30-17 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 69.4%
Defensive zone
Backes 80.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 70.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Backes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
30
(47 meetings)
17
30
Backes
Staal
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
5
Backes
Staal
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
11
Backes
Staal
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
14
Backes
Staal
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
55.9% (14,620)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
62.7% (1,745)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
48.0% (2,896)
-0.6%
On power play, Staal has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Backes
Staal
Home
50.6% (3,936)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Backes
Staal
P1
50.1%
55.2%
P2
51.5%
55.9%
P3
50.8%
54.9%
OT
42.9%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | David Backes |