Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 88.9%
Defensive zone
Krejci 78.4%
Neutral zone
Krejci 82.7%
Result
David Krejci favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Krejci
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Krejci
Staal
Last 10: Krejci 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Krejci
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
9
Krejci
Staal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Krejci
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
56.3% (1,115)
-9.1%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
61.2% (67)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
52.1% (292)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Krejci
Staal
Home
52.0% (381)
58.3% (705)
Away
42.6% (359)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Krejci
Staal
P1
47.2%
54.5%
P2
43.7%
58.2%
P3
51.9%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | OT | 03:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |