Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Legwand wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.7% vs Staal 57.3% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 73.5%
Defensive zone
Legwand 71.6%
Neutral zone
Legwand 75.4%
Result
David Legwand favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Legwand
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Legwand
Staal
Last 5: Legwand 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Legwand
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
1
0
Legwand
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Legwand
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (357)
56.6% (1,075)
-9.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
66.7% (141)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
58.1% (179)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Legwand is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Legwand shoots left. Staal is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Legwand
Staal
Home
46.2% (236)
57.7% (735)
Away
45.5% (191)
57.9% (660)
By Period
Legwand
Staal
P1
42.3%
61.8%
P2
46.0%
55.7%
P3
51.3%
56.1%
OT
0.0%
56.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
45.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |