Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Staal 51.0% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 57.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Stepan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Stepan
Staal
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
0
Stepan
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Stepan
Staal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
52.3% (790)
-7.4%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
54.4% (114)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
45.0% (218)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Staal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Stepan
Staal
Home
45.6% (463)
54.9% (628)
Away
43.3% (404)
46.4% (530)
By Period
Stepan
Staal
P1
50.2%
50.3%
P2
39.4%
52.4%
P3
45.7%
50.4%
OT
38.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 00:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |