Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Staal 58.4% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 78.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 88.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 83.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Stepan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
Stepan
Staal
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Stepan
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
6
Stepan
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Stepan
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
59.1% (888)
-10.9%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
66.9% (121)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
52.6% (156)
-14.7%
On power play, Staal has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Staal is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Stepan
Staal
Home
46.4% (774)
61.2% (600)
Away
47.7% (748)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Stepan
Staal
P1
46.7%
57.5%
P2
46.3%
60.1%
P3
48.1%
59.1%
OT
47.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |