Scouting Report
Erik Christensen holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Christensen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 49.5% vs Staal 47.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 69.7%
Defensive zone
Christensen 52.0%
Neutral zone
Christensen 65.0%
Result
Erik Christensen favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Christensen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Christensen
Staal
Last 5: Christensen 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
1
0
Christensen
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Christensen
3
1
Christensen
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (544)
47.6% (552)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
49.1% (110)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
37.8% (111)
-4.5%
On power play, Christensen has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Christensen is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Christensen shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Christensen
Staal
Home
53.1% (305)
49.8% (400)
Away
46.1% (334)
44.1% (401)
By Period
Christensen
Staal
P1
49.0%
53.7%
P2
51.1%
43.9%
P3
48.1%
43.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |