Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kane wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.9% vs Staal 56.1% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 79.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.5%
Neutral zone
Kane 56.6%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Kane
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kane
Staal
Last 5: Kane 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
2
1
Kane
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Kane
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (198)
55.9% (1,016)
-14.0%
Power Play
51.4% (70)
68.0% (150)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.6% (172)
-0.6%
On power play, Staal has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kane is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Kane shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Kane
Staal
Home
45.8% (142)
57.2% (684)
Away
43.0% (128)
56.0% (654)
By Period
Kane
Staal
P1
42.3%
53.0%
P2
41.5%
58.2%
P3
51.8%
58.9%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |