Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Staal 50.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 52.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 58.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 56.5%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Nielsen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Nielsen
Staal
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Nielsen
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Nielsen
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (392)
49.7% (662)
+0.3%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
61.2% (103)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (146)
44.3% (149)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Nielsen is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Nielsen shoots left. Staal is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Staal
Home
48.9% (274)
50.0% (446)
Away
47.2% (284)
50.2% (468)
By Period
Nielsen
Staal
P1
47.9%
50.0%
P2
49.7%
49.5%
P3
46.3%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | OT | 03:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |