Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.8% vs Staal 54.1% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 67.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Nielsen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nielsen
Staal
Last 6: Nielsen 4-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Nielsen
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (409)
54.2% (943)
-7.7%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
69.6% (79)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
50.8% (262)
-9.1%
On power play, Staal has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Nielsen is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nielsen shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Staal
Home
44.7% (264)
55.0% (593)
Away
47.9% (192)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Nielsen
Staal
P1
48.4%
54.3%
P2
49.7%
53.5%
P3
38.0%
55.2%
OT
100.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
44.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |