Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.3%). Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 50.6%
Defensive zone
Stoll 55.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 53.7%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Stoll
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
8
(28 meetings)
20
8
Stoll
Staal
Last 10: Stoll 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
5
Stoll
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
3
Stoll
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
14
0
Stoll
Staal
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
55.9% (14,620)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
62.7% (1,745)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
48.0% (2,896)
+2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Stoll
Staal
Home
57.2% (3,285)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Stoll
Staal
P1
54.2%
55.2%
P2
55.8%
55.9%
P3
55.3%
54.9%
OT
52.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |