Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 48.0% vs Staal 51.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Brien 62.5%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 62.1%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 63.2%
Result
Jim O'Brien favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
O'Brien
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
O'Brien
Staal
Last 5: O'Brien 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
O'Brien
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
O'Brien
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
52.3% (790)
-3.4%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
54.4% (114)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (67)
45.0% (218)
-0.2%
On power play, Staal has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. O'Brien is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (190).
O'Brien shoots right. Staal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Staal
Home
46.8% (139)
54.9% (628)
Away
47.9% (117)
46.4% (530)
By Period
O'Brien
Staal
P1
51.6%
50.3%
P2
46.1%
52.4%
P3
41.9%
50.4%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |