Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Weal 52.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Weal leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Weal 76.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.0%
Neutral zone
Weal 60.1%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Staal
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Staal
Weal
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
0
7
Staal
Weal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Weal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Weal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
51.8% (867)
+4.2%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
59.7% (129)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
37.5% (8)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Staal is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,477).
Staal shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Staal
Weal
Home
56.4% (9,518)
53.2% (455)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
52.3% (549)
By Period
Staal
Weal
P1
55.1%
56.6%
P2
56.0%
50.7%
P3
55.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |