Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Weal 49.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Weal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Weal 81.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.3%
Neutral zone
Weal 58.4%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Staal
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Staal
Weal
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
0
6
Staal
Weal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Weal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Weal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
43.8% (130)
+10.4%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
60.7% (61)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
100.0% (2)
-49.2%
On penalty kill, Weal has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Staal shoots left. Weal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Staal
Weal
Home
55.0% (593)
53.6% (97)
Away
54.0% (691)
45.8% (96)
By Period
Staal
Weal
P1
54.3%
46.3%
P2
53.5%
50.6%
P3
55.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |