Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Dach 37.3% (+18.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-3 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 95.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 98.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 96.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 96.8%
96.8%
3.2%
Staal
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
3
(18 meetings)
15
3
Staal
Dach
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Dach
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Dach
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
Dach
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
36.5% (1,423)
+19.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
35.7% (98)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
36.0% (25)
+12.0%
On power play, Staal has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Staal
Dach
Home
56.4% (9,663)
37.0% (857)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
35.8% (689)
By Period
Staal
Dach
P1
55.2%
35.3%
P2
55.9%
34.5%
P3
54.9%
40.4%
OT
56.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 03:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |