Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 61.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Dach 43.6% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 90.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 92.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Staal
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Staal
Dach
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Dach
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Dach
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Dach
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (780)
42.7% (157)
+14.5%
Power Play
71.3% (171)
31.3% (32)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (132)
0.0% (2)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Staal is 61.5% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Staal shoots left. Dach is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Staal
Dach
Home
57.6% (566)
40.5% (111)
Away
58.4% (517)
40.0% (80)
By Period
Staal
Dach
P1
55.6%
35.4%
P2
58.5%
39.7%
P3
60.6%
45.6%
Final 5 min
56.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 03:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |