Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Okposo 48.7% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 58.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 96.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Staal
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Staal
Okposo
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
2
6
Staal
Okposo
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
0
Staal
Okposo
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Okposo
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
49.1% (1,513)
+6.8%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
50.1% (391)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
39.7% (151)
+8.3%
On power play, Staal has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Okposo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Home / Away
Staal
Okposo
Home
56.4% (9,663)
50.2% (990)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
47.1% (1,065)
By Period
Staal
Okposo
P1
55.2%
48.8%
P2
55.9%
49.6%
P3
54.9%
47.3%
OT
56.2%
48.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |