Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Kunin 46.0% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Staal
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Staal
Kunin
Last 7: Staal 4-3 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
1
Staal
Kunin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Kunin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Kunin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (750)
40.5% (168)
+16.2%
Power Play
62.5% (120)
66.7% (18)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (153)
57.1% (14)
-10.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Staal shoots left. Kunin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Staal
Kunin
Home
58.8% (522)
38.9% (113)
Away
52.7% (501)
50.6% (87)
By Period
Staal
Kunin
P1
60.8%
47.2%
P2
55.9%
47.6%
P3
51.7%
37.5%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
32.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |