Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Letestu 53.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 54.6%
Defensive zone
Letestu 67.7%
Neutral zone
Letestu 60.9%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Staal
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Letestu
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
3
Staal
Letestu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Staal
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
53.3% (625)
+2.6%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
59.6% (89)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
50.3% (173)
+0.3%
On power play, Staal has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Staal shoots left. Letestu is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Staal
Letestu
Home
57.2% (684)
55.8% (421)
Away
56.0% (654)
51.1% (466)
By Period
Staal
Letestu
P1
53.0%
52.0%
P2
58.2%
55.2%
P3
58.9%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |