Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Talbot 47.0% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Talbot 73.8%
Defensive zone
Talbot 70.4%
Neutral zone
Talbot 74.1%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Staal
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Staal
Talbot
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
0
Staal
Talbot
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
7
Staal
Talbot
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
6
Staal
Talbot
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
48.3% (1,738)
+7.6%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
49.0% (51)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
42.3% (631)
+5.7%
On power play, Staal has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Home / Away
Staal
Talbot
Home
56.4% (9,663)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Staal
Talbot
P1
55.2%
48.7%
P2
55.9%
43.5%
P3
54.9%
48.6%
OT
56.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2013 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 6, 2013 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |