Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.1% vs Talbot 48.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 54.6%
Defensive zone
Talbot 56.2%
Neutral zone
Talbot 54.7%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Staal
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Talbot
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Talbot
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
1
Staal
Talbot
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
3
Staal
Talbot
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (662)
50.4% (135)
-0.7%
Power Play
61.2% (103)
100.0% (1)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (149)
41.1% (56)
+3.2%
On power play, Talbot has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Staal is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Staal shoots left. Talbot is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Staal
Talbot
Home
50.0% (446)
47.4% (97)
Away
50.2% (468)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Staal
Talbot
P1
50.0%
57.1%
P2
49.5%
28.1%
P3
50.5%
57.4%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |