Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Handzus 51.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Handzus 52.1%
Defensive zone
Handzus 53.2%
Neutral zone
Handzus 51.9%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Staal
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Staal
Handzus
Last 6: Staal 3-3 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Handzus
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
1
3
Staal
Handzus
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
51.5% (2,438)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
58.0% (286)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
47.3% (471)
+0.7%
On power play, Staal has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Handzus is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,162).
Home / Away
Staal
Handzus
Home
56.4% (9,663)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
Staal
Handzus
P1
55.2%
52.5%
P2
55.9%
53.7%
P3
54.9%
48.4%
OT
56.2%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 15, 2013 | OT | 03:52 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |