Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 22-20 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 58.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Staal
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
20
(42 meetings)
22
20
Staal
Ribeiro
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
4
5
Staal
Ribeiro
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
4
Staal
Ribeiro
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
8
11
Staal
Ribeiro
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
42.9% (4,887)
+13.0%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
45.6% (930)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
33.3% (147)
+14.7%
On power play, Staal has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Staal
Ribeiro
Home
56.4% (9,663)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Staal
Ribeiro
P1
55.2%
42.6%
P2
55.9%
44.3%
P3
54.9%
41.8%
OT
56.2%
49.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |