Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 34 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Koivu 54.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 60-45 in 105 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 52.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Staal
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
45
(105 meetings)
60
45
Staal
Koivu
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
25
18
Staal
Koivu
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
21
13
Staal
Koivu
34 total
Neutral Zone
Even
14
14
Staal
Koivu
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
54.0% (9,465)
+1.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
58.6% (2,100)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
48.9% (1,688)
-0.9%
On power play, Staal has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Staal
Koivu
Home
56.4% (9,663)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Staal
Koivu
P1
55.2%
53.5%
P2
55.9%
54.6%
P3
54.9%
54.0%
OT
56.2%
56.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |