Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 34 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Koivu 54.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 60-45 in 105 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 53.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Staal
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
45
(105 meetings)
60
45
Staal
Koivu
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
25
18
Staal
Koivu
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
21
13
Staal
Koivu
34 total
Neutral Zone
Even
14
14
Staal
Koivu
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
54.0% (9,465)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
58.6% (2,100)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
48.9% (1,688)
-0.8%
On power play, Staal has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Staal
Koivu
Home
56.4% (9,518)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Staal
Koivu
P1
55.1%
53.5%
P2
56.0%
54.6%
P3
55.0%
54.0%
OT
55.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |