Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Koivu 51.3% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 81.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Staal
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Staal
Koivu
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
3
Staal
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
50.7% (1,073)
+5.2%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
65.3% (216)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
43.4% (286)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Staal shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Staal
Koivu
Home
57.2% (684)
50.9% (752)
Away
56.0% (654)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Staal
Koivu
P1
53.0%
51.9%
P2
58.2%
50.3%
P3
58.9%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 7, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |