Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Koivu 54.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 53.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Staal
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Staal
Koivu
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
3
Staal
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (750)
55.1% (672)
+1.6%
Power Play
62.5% (120)
56.5% (115)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (153)
49.5% (107)
-3.1%
On power play, Staal has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Staal is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Staal shoots left. Koivu is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Staal
Koivu
Home
58.8% (522)
56.6% (410)
Away
52.7% (501)
52.9% (484)
By Period
Staal
Koivu
P1
60.8%
51.7%
P2
55.9%
56.7%
P3
51.7%
55.3%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |