Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Bonino 50.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 30-27 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 70.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Staal
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
27
(57 meetings)
30
27
Staal
Bonino
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
13
8
Staal
Bonino
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
8
Staal
Bonino
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
7
11
Staal
Bonino
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
50.6% (8,315)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
54.1% (972)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
44.6% (1,693)
+3.4%
On power play, Staal has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Staal
Bonino
Home
56.4% (9,663)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Staal
Bonino
P1
55.2%
50.6%
P2
55.9%
48.5%
P3
54.9%
51.1%
OT
56.2%
45.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |