Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lindberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Lindberg 50.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 72.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 87.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Staal
Lindberg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Staal
Lindberg
Last 6: Staal 5-1 Lindberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Lindberg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Lindberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lindberg
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
50.0% (1,186)
+5.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
57.8% (45)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
44.4% (36)
+3.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindberg shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Lindberg is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (799).
Home / Away
Staal
Lindberg
Home
56.4% (9,663)
50.9% (613)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
49.4% (654)
By Period
Staal
Lindberg
P1
55.2%
50.0%
P2
55.9%
53.4%
P3
54.9%
46.7%
OT
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Lindberg
48.0%▲
45.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Oscar Lindberg |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |