Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Berglund 47.9% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 62.8%
Defensive zone
Berglund 65.5%
Neutral zone
Berglund 65.5%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Staal
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Staal
Berglund
Last 6: Staal 1-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Staal
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Staal
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,171)
47.7% (641)
+7.6%
Power Play
56.6% (173)
59.7% (67)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
36.0% (75)
+6.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Staal shoots left. Berglund is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Staal
Berglund
Home
54.7% (720)
50.2% (422)
Away
54.0% (757)
44.6% (361)
By Period
Staal
Berglund
P1
51.2%
43.8%
P2
57.4%
46.3%
P3
54.6%
53.1%
OT
52.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |