Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Elias 42.7% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 37-19 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 92.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 98.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 97.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 95.7%
95.7%
4.3%
Staal
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
19
(56 meetings)
37
19
Staal
Elias
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
14
10
Staal
Elias
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
4
Staal
Elias
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
13
5
Staal
Elias
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
42.3% (2,591)
+13.6%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
48.4% (405)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
36.0% (367)
+12.0%
On power play, Staal has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Staal
Elias
Home
56.4% (9,663)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Staal
Elias
P1
55.2%
41.1%
P2
55.9%
43.1%
P3
54.9%
43.0%
OT
56.2%
43.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |