Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Elias 42.7% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 37-19 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 92.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 98.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 97.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 95.6%
95.6%
4.4%
Staal
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
19
(56 meetings)
37
19
Staal
Elias
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
14
10
Staal
Elias
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
4
Staal
Elias
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
13
5
Staal
Elias
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
42.3% (2,591)
+13.7%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
48.4% (405)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
36.0% (367)
+12.1%
On power play, Staal has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Staal
Elias
Home
56.4% (9,518)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Staal
Elias
P1
55.1%
41.1%
P2
56.0%
43.1%
P3
55.0%
43.0%
OT
55.6%
43.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |