Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.7% vs Elias 40.5% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 96.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 95.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 94.8%
94.8%
5.2%
Staal
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
3
(16 meetings)
13
3
Staal
Elias
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
2
Staal
Elias
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Elias
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (769)
39.3% (550)
+17.3%
Power Play
60.2% (98)
50.0% (60)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
27.0% (63)
+0.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Staal shoots left. Elias is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Staal
Elias
Home
57.8% (510)
39.1% (335)
Away
54.4% (375)
39.1% (338)
By Period
Staal
Elias
P1
55.1%
39.0%
P2
56.8%
35.4%
P3
57.1%
44.4%
OT
62.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |