Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.7% vs Varone 46.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 91.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 90.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Staal
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Staal
Varone
Last 5: Staal 5-0 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Varone
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (769)
45.4% (315)
+11.2%
Power Play
60.2% (98)
36.4% (11)
+23.8%
On power play, Staal has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Staal shoots left. Varone is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Staal
Varone
Home
57.8% (510)
44.5% (119)
Away
54.4% (375)
45.4% (207)
By Period
Staal
Varone
P1
55.1%
44.5%
P2
56.8%
38.6%
P3
57.1%
53.5%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |