Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Peverley 57.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 58.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Staal
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Staal
Peverley
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
5
8
Staal
Peverley
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Staal
Peverley
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
2
7
Staal
Peverley
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
58.0% (1,715)
-2.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
57.0% (391)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
59.2% (333)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Staal
Peverley
Home
56.4% (9,663)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Staal
Peverley
P1
55.2%
59.6%
P2
55.9%
57.8%
P3
54.9%
57.0%
OT
56.2%
51.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |