Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Peverley 57.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 57.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Staal
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Staal
Peverley
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
5
8
Staal
Peverley
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Staal
Peverley
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
2
7
Staal
Peverley
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
58.0% (1,715)
-2.0%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
57.0% (391)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
59.2% (333)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Staal is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,477).
Staal shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Staal
Peverley
Home
56.4% (9,518)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Staal
Peverley
P1
55.1%
59.6%
P2
56.0%
57.8%
P3
55.0%
57.0%
OT
55.6%
51.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |