Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Nash 48.5% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 26-11 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 92.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 95.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 91.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Staal
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
11
(37 meetings)
26
11
Staal
Nash
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
1
Staal
Nash
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
6
Staal
Nash
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
4
Staal
Nash
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
48.7% (4,621)
+7.2%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
51.0% (249)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
44.9% (550)
+3.1%
On power play, Staal has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Staal
Nash
Home
56.4% (9,663)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Staal
Nash
P1
55.2%
49.0%
P2
55.9%
47.9%
P3
54.9%
48.0%
OT
56.2%
68.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | OT | 01:31 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Riley Nash |