Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Nash 48.5% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 86.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Staal
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Staal
Nash
Last 9: Staal 7-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Nash
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
47.7% (801)
+8.2%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
51.2% (41)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
52.3% (107)
-1.7%
On power play, Staal has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Staal shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Staal
Nash
Home
57.2% (684)
50.1% (467)
Away
56.0% (654)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Staal
Nash
P1
53.0%
52.1%
P2
58.2%
44.9%
P3
58.9%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Riley Nash |