Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Sheahan 50.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 66.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Staal
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Staal
Sheahan
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
4
Staal
Sheahan
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
7
Staal
Sheahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Sheahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
51.0% (4,968)
+4.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
55.6% (322)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
44.3% (1,068)
+3.7%
On power play, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Staal
Sheahan
Home
56.4% (9,663)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Staal
Sheahan
P1
55.2%
51.3%
P2
55.9%
51.2%
P3
54.9%
48.1%
OT
56.2%
35.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |